IATA: total air cargo demand up 11.2% in February

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IATA: total air cargo demand up 11.2% in February

However, IATA experts warn that the ongoing conflict in West Asia makes it difficult to see how full-year performance will unfol

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released data for February 2026 global air cargo markets showing an 11.2 percent increase in total demand from where it was in the same period in 2025.

At the same time, capacity in available cargo tonne-kilometres (ACTK) was up 8.5 percent from the February 2025 figure.

According to IATA director-general Willie Walsh: “Even considering the boost that February received from the movement of goods ahead of Lunar New Year, the month showed strong growth. The outbreak of war in the Middle East at the end of the month, however, makes it difficult to see how full-year performance will unfold. Sharply rising fuel costs, fuel scarcity in parts of the world, and the severe disruption to key cargo hubs in the Gulf are major shifts. While air cargo has repeatedly proven its resilience in the face of disruption, an early resolution of the war along with a normalization of fuel supply and costs would be in everybody’s interest.

Factors to consider

Several factors in the operating environment should be noted:

  • The global goods trade grew by 5.2 percent year-on-year in January;. 
  • Jet fuel prices rose 1.2% year-on-year in February, while a widening Brent–jet fuel crack spread highlighted continued volatility in refining margins;.and
  • Global manufacturing sentiment strengthened in February, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rising to 53.1, remaining above the 50-point expansion threshold. The PMI for new export orders rose to 51.4, above the growth threshold and the highest level since July 2021, indicating positive conditions for air cargo demand.

Performance by region

  • Asia-Pacific airlines saw a 13.6% year-on-year growth in air cargo demand in February. Capacity increased by 10.1% year-on-year.
  • North American carriers saw a 9.4% year-on-year increase in air cargo demand in February. Capacity increased by 5.3% year-on-year.
  • European carriers saw a 6.9% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in February. Capacity increased 6.1% year-on-year.
  • Middle Eastern carriers saw a 16.5% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in February. Capacity increased by 13.5% year-on-year.
  • Latin American and Caribbean carriers saw a 0.7% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in February, the weakest performance of all regions. Capacity increased by 4.5% year-on-year.
  • African airlines saw a 21.0% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in February, the strongest rise of all regions. Capacity increased by 17.3% year-on-year. 

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IATA: total air cargo demand up 11.2% in February

However, IATA experts warn that the ongoing conflict in West Asia makes it difficult to see how full-year performance will unfol

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released data for February 2026 global air cargo markets showing an 11.2 percent increase in total demand from where it was in the same period in 2025.

At the same time, capacity in available cargo tonne-kilometres (ACTK) was up 8.5 percent from the February 2025 figure.

According to IATA director-general Willie Walsh: “Even considering the boost that February received from the movement of goods ahead of Lunar New Year, the month showed strong growth. The outbreak of war in the Middle East at the end of the month, however, makes it difficult to see how full-year performance will unfold. Sharply rising fuel costs, fuel scarcity in parts of the world, and the severe disruption to key cargo hubs in the Gulf are major shifts. While air cargo has repeatedly proven its resilience in the face of disruption, an early resolution of the war along with a normalization of fuel supply and costs would be in everybody’s interest.

Factors to consider

Several factors in the operating environment should be noted:

  • The global goods trade grew by 5.2 percent year-on-year in January;. 
  • Jet fuel prices rose 1.2% year-on-year in February, while a widening Brent–jet fuel crack spread highlighted continued volatility in refining margins;.and
  • Global manufacturing sentiment strengthened in February, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rising to 53.1, remaining above the 50-point expansion threshold. The PMI for new export orders rose to 51.4, above the growth threshold and the highest level since July 2021, indicating positive conditions for air cargo demand.

Performance by region

  • Asia-Pacific airlines saw a 13.6% year-on-year growth in air cargo demand in February. Capacity increased by 10.1% year-on-year.
  • North American carriers saw a 9.4% year-on-year increase in air cargo demand in February. Capacity increased by 5.3% year-on-year.
  • European carriers saw a 6.9% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in February. Capacity increased 6.1% year-on-year.
  • Middle Eastern carriers saw a 16.5% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in February. Capacity increased by 13.5% year-on-year.
  • Latin American and Caribbean carriers saw a 0.7% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in February, the weakest performance of all regions. Capacity increased by 4.5% year-on-year.
  • African airlines saw a 21.0% year-on-year increase in demand for air cargo in February, the strongest rise of all regions. Capacity increased by 17.3% year-on-year. 

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